Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.974136 2.286118 2.629228 3.034279 3.499115 4.015607 4.632785
2025-03-02 1.431091 1.810105 2.262790 2.842304 3.563502 4.430502 5.551005
2025-03-09 1.139716 1.557601 2.094052 2.830954 3.814598 5.079906 6.828609
2025-03-16 0.902230 1.322720 1.898877 2.742146 3.940632 5.578052 7.979668
2025-03-23 0.794721 1.240529 1.887891 2.890216 4.395866 6.564804 9.916019
2025-03-30 0.695607 1.150375 1.846905 2.982323 4.776139 7.487345 11.878347
2025-04-06 0.597600 1.043137 1.760303 2.986653 5.016756 8.224079 13.648407
2025-04-13 0.489210 0.899294 1.591507 2.830390 4.974198 8.506106 14.728367
2025-04-20 0.442380 0.852186 1.574226 2.920599 5.344889 9.491322 17.067076
2025-04-27 0.411144 0.827374 1.590580 3.068952 5.830670 10.720327 19.958504
2025-05-04 0.373284 0.783523 1.565205 3.135770 6.174922 11.736336 22.584735
2025-05-11 0.335897 0.734276 1.521924 3.160987 6.441401 12.636344 25.093706
2025-05-18 0.289923 0.661468 1.425127 3.073795 6.491725 13.161734 27.005511
2025-05-25 0.245118 0.583483 1.306177 2.924100 6.396653 13.395230 28.378342
2025-06-01 0.220811 0.546805 1.268378 2.939098 6.641809 14.329384 31.263948
2025-06-08 0.192757 0.496604 1.193578 2.862433 6.680862 14.845965 33.347962
2025-06-15 0.184842 0.493365 1.223956 3.026383 7.268929 16.581165 38.216722
2025-06-22 0.173466 0.479560 1.227628 3.128556 7.729794 18.092637 42.768180
2025-06-29 0.157794 0.451960 1.194049 3.136588 7.972040 19.146104 46.413814
2025-07-06 0.135230 0.401923 1.097327 2.974734 7.785818 19.203646 47.781573
2025-07-13 0.127710 0.392120 1.101879 3.070569 8.245339 20.814931 52.978000
2025-07-20 0.123374 0.390685 1.128231 3.226992 8.877471 22.906238 59.556376
2025-07-27 0.115743 0.378208 1.122882 3.297572 9.296132 24.521816 65.140603